Nate Silver

Exclusive: Nate Silver forecasts the DNC

Decision 2016<p>Trump lawyer Giuliani to Mueller: Write your damn report<p>06:00<p>Omarosa: Trump knew about Clinton emails before Wikileaks release<p>03:34<p>Trump …

Donald Trump

Top prognosticator picks Rossi to win Washington's 8th Congressional District, for now

The founder of the blog, Nate Silver, said Republican Dino Rossi is the favored to win Washington's 8th Congressional District, …


Nate Silver: 10 NC incumbents are 85 percent or better favorites | McClatchy Washington Bureau

November’s general election will determine which party controls the U.S. House and both sides are gearing up for a blitz of television ads, campaign …

North Carolina

Democrats have about a 70% chance of winning the House, Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight forecasts

Democrats have reason for optimism heading into November's midterms, according to one widely followed election forecaster.<p>The party has about a 70 …


FiveThirtyEight forecasts a 75% chance the 27th District stays red

Right now it's unclear which Republican will be on the ballot for New York's 27th congressional district in November.<p>But whoever it is has a great …

Primary Elections

FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver

Just Now<p>FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver joins us to look ahead to the November midterms and what the forecasts are and polls are showing.<p>Colorado's …


Politics Podcast: Let’s Talk About The 2018 House Forecast

Our 2018 House forecast is now live! That also means that the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is resurrecting “Model Talk,” in which Nate Silver …


The Feast or Famine Risk for Democrats

Nate Silver: “It’s much to Democrats’ credit that there are so many districts in play in all corners of the country. (Based on our accounting, …


2018 House Forecast | FiveThirtyEight

Forecasting the race for the House<p>Updated Aug. 18, 2018, at 9:55 AM<p># Our forecast for every district<p>The chance of each candidate winning, with all …


FiveThirtyEight forecasts Democrats as favorites to win the House of Representatives

Will Democrats win control of the House of Representatives this November?<p>FiveThirtyEight’s newly launched House forecast gives them a 3-in-4 chance …


Pollster: It is the job of the media, pollsters to point out bad polling

Republican pollster Chris Wilson said on Tuesday that is the job of the news media and pollsters to point out "bad" polling ahead of elections.<p>"It is …


Nate Silver’s 2018 Forecast Is Nearly Complete

Nate Silver is putting the finishing touches on his 2018 midterm election model but does’t want to say much about it yet.“My <i>guess</i>, though, is that it …


Top statistician Nate Silver’s algorithm loves Ben Simmons and the Philadelphia 76ers

The top sports statistician in the country shows why the Philadelphia 76ers have the best starting lineup in the East and why Ben Simmons will …


**Nate Silver**: _[How FiveThirtyEight’s House Model Works]( ---- #shouldread

<b>The purpose of this weblog is to be the best possible portal into what I am thinking, what I am reading, what I think about what I am reading, and</b> …

Brad DeLong

Top Wedding Songs That Couples Have Banned!

2 days ago<p>There are certain songs that will get everyone on the dance floor at a wedding, but there are also a bunch of tunes no bride and groom …


Donald Trump says he's 'very concerned' about Russian election meddling - to help his opponents

Donald Trump says he's "very concerned" about the prospect of Russia meddling in America's forthcoming mid-term elections - to help his opponents.<p>The …

Donald Trump

Uh Oh. Kavanaugh's SCOTUS Seat In Trouble Over Video: He Would Overturn Counsel Rule

This is bad. Like, bipartisan bad for Brett Kavanaugh.<p>You're not supposed to have an opinion on a case that might come before the court. And two …

Liberal View

Elon Musk Donated To Help Republicans Win In November

9:56 PM 07/14/2018<p>Billionaire SpaceX founder Elon Musk donated $33,900 last month to GOP Super PAC Protect the House.<p>The committee, which works to …

Conservative View

FiveThirtyEight: Nate Silver on the aftermath of Comey Day

Nate Silver discusses his biggest takeaway from James Comey's congressional testimony.

James Comey

What's the Point: Nate Silver on scrutinizing data

Jody Avirgan speaks with Nate Silver on FiveThirtyEight's new podcast, What's The Point.

Nate Silver

FiveThirtyEight: Nate Silver on the effectiveness of President Trump's pretext

The Politics Podcast team talk about President Trump's recent tweets over the weekend.

Donald Trump

FiveThirtyEight: Nate Silver on Trump's immigration ban

The Politics Podcast team break down President Trump's latest executive order.

Donald Trump

FiveThirtyEight: Nate Silver discusses the method to our forecast

Nate Silver dives into the FiveThirtyEight forecast following the outcome of the presidential election.

Nate Silver

FiveThirtyEight: Nate Silver recaps the first night of the RNC

Nate Silver speaks with CBS News's John Dickerson about the highlights from the first night of the Republican National Convention.


Nate Silver: Trump's chances of victory have doubled since last debate

In this Election Update video, Nate Silver considers what impact Hillary Clinton's latest email news is having on the polls, and notes what data he …

Hillary Clinton

Nate Silver: Clinton's campaign is underrated

At a live podcast taping in New York, Nate Silver, Clare Malone, Harry Enten, and Jody Avirgan try to put Hillary Clinton's campaign in historical …

Hillary Clinton

Nate Silver and Michael Lewis on the 2016 election

Nate and Michael discuss the 2016 election, polling, baseball and the difficulty of uncertainty.


FiveThirtyEight: What will the GOP party look like after Donald Trump?

Nate Silver speaks with Molly Ball of The Atlantic about the state of the Republican Party and its future after Donald Trump.

Donald Trump

FiveThirtyEight: What to make of Trump vs. Clinton polls

Nate Silver and Harry Enten look at what recent national and state-level polls tell us about the likelihood of a Trump or Clinton presidency.


FiveThirtyEight: Trump's stakes in Michigan

Nate Silver, Clare Malone, and Harry Enten preview the primary and caucus contests in Michigan, Idaho, Hawaii, and Mississippi.

Nate Silver