Yiping Hou

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从美日看中国楼市去库存的风险

分析:对冲基金唱空人民币露出破绽

中国央行与意图狙击人民币的投机者展开的干系重大的战斗在上周进一步升级,原因是美国对冲基金经理凯尔•巴斯(Kyle Bass)向投资者发出了一封措辞尖锐的信,预言中国将遭遇债务和货币危机。<p>而就在上周末,中国央行行长周小川打破了数月来的沉默,发表言论淡化中国外汇储备规模降至逾三年低点的影响,并强调中国无 …

How China grew desperate to conceal its power from the world

Beijing's Asian Infrastructure Investment Development Bank marks the opening salvo in a soft power war with the United States<p>The creation of the prosaic-sounding Asian Infrastructure Investment Development Bank (AIIB) has landed the biggest blow to America’s superpower status in the post-war …

The global financial system stands on the brink of second credit crisis

The world financial system stands on the brink of a second credit crisis as interbank lending shows increasing risk<p>The world economy stands on the brink of a second credit crisis as the vital transmission systems for lending between banks begin to seize up and the debt markets fall over. The latest …

Baltic Exchange

进化论一平: 原帖已被作者删除

Log Normal Distribution

A continuous distribution in which the logarithm of a variable has a normal distribution. It is a general case of Gibrat's distribution, to which the …

解密风险资本经济学

编者按:马特·奥古兹(Matt Oguz)是 Palo Alto Venture Science 的总经理。<p>纳西姆•尼古拉斯•塔勒布(Nassim Nicholas Taleb )之前提出了一个非常热门的黑天鹅理论,用于探索一些颠覆常规而且难以预测的事件,他对 黑天鹅事件 的三个特征做出了如下的描述:<p>该事件产生的影响巨大<br>• 该事件很难使用(通常的)科学手段来解释<br>• 人们的心理偏差使得该事件难以预测<p>黑天鹅事件在风险投资行业引起了大量的关注,塔勒布在他的著作中曾经表示,这种独特的资产类别体现了黑天鹅事件的全部三个特征。风险资本与其他资产类别不一样的地方在于前者拥有复杂的定性和定量特点。它的定性特点已经为人 …

Class In America: Mobility, Measured

The study, by a clutch of economists at Harvard University and the University of California, Berkeley, is far bigger than any previous effort to measure social mobility. The economists crunch numbers from over 40m tax returns of people born between 1971 and 1993 (with all identifying information …

Demographics