Tomás

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Why You Shouldn’t Always Trust The Inside Scoop

Reporters put too much stock in the campaigns’ internal polls and the inside view of the race.<p><i>This is the eighth article in a</i> <i>series</i> <i>that reviews news</i> …

What the Iowa Poll does to get it right

CLOSE<p>Forty-two percent of Iowans approve of the job the newly inaugurated Republican is doing as president, while 49 percent disapprove, according to …

Clinton’s Ground Game Didn’t Cost Her The Election

Reporters gave Clinton’s field operation too much credit before. Now it’s getting too much blame.<p><i>This is the seventh article in a series that reviews</i> …

The Real Story Of 2016

What reporters — and lots of data geeks, too — missed about the election, and what they’re still getting wrong.<p>On Friday at noon, a Category 5 …

Game on! The best board games of 2016

Here's what hit our tabletops most in 2016.<p>Welcome to Ars Cardboard, our weekend look at tabletop games. Check out our complete board gaming coverage …

Star Trek

Why were the polls wrong again in 2016?

<b>Victories for Donald Trump and Brexit have confounded the pollsters again, after most got the 2015 general election wrong. But were they to blame?</b><p>In the aftermath of the 2015 general election opinion poll debacle, I spoke to an old friend in the business. He said that normally, after such a bad …

Polling

The Top Tabletop Games Of 2016

The field of board, card, miniature, and role-playing gaming continued its meteoric growth this year, exploring hundreds of innovative designs and …

Board Games

Voters Really Did Switch To Trump At The Last Minute

Donald Trump’s somewhat surprising win has forced many political analysts to wonder: Were we wrong all along in thinking Hillary Clinton had the …

Can Social Media Data Save The Polls?

The first known example of an opinion poll was in 1824, which was a local straw poll in Pennsylvania on the US presidential election. In 1916, The …

Popular Data Science Books Every Data Scientist Must Read

McKinsey Global Institute report highlights that the U.S. economy will witness a shortage 250,000 data scientists by 2024 as the demand for data …

2016 proved that history is better than polls at predicting winners of presidential elections

The media spends hundreds of millions of dollars every four years covering presidential elections as if they are horseraces, with candidates sprinting ahead or falling behind. But despite all the daily scorekeeping, the results of the 2016 US presidential election came as a shock to many.<p>The …

Government

Pollsters go back to drawing board

Pollsters who missed Donald TrumpDonald John TrumpVeterans group urges Senate to back McCain, block Haspel in ad The Memo: Trump puts his stamp on …

Government

Demonetisation survey: Has Narendra Modi hit political jackpot with economic move?

There is always a danger in posing too much faith in surveys and opinion polls. Ask Hillary Clinton. For one, psephology isn't an exact art. Second, …

India

Is Donald Trump's Surprise Win a Failure of Big Data? Not Really

Hillary Clinton’s campaign for the presidency was famously, proudly, data-driven. For months, a trail of reporters chronicled the magic of the …

Polling and the Trump Big Fail

Last week’s Big Fail by the press and punditocracy in predicting Donald Trump’s election has been attributed by some to rampant bias. That’s an …

How One Pollster Saw Trump’s Win Coming

As Hillary Clinton's nightmarish election night unfolded, the narrative coalesced around one question: How did the pollsters not see this coming?<p>Not …

Rondel Games Are Totally a Thing And Here’s Why They’re Awesome

There’s all kinds of different games out there–4X, worker placement, auction, dice, and more. Perhaps least well known is the rondel game. A rondel …

This election proved you're only as good as your data

As you've probably heard, while Hillary Clinton won the majority of the popular vote, Donald Trump was awarded more than 270 votes in the Electoral College. Many, particularly on social media, were incredulous, partly at the candidates but also at the pollsters -- in particular, famous polling …

The Polls Missed Trump. We Asked Pollsters Why.

The polls missed Donald Trump’s election. Individual polls missed, at the state level and nationally (though national polls weren’t far off). So did …

7 experts try to explain how the polls missed Donald Trump’s victory

When pollsters try to figure out who is winning an election, they use something called a “likely voter screen.” It’s exactly what it sounds like — a way to sort who will actually show up on Election Day from who merely says they prefer one candidate but will probably stay home.<p>Pollsters have …

Government

The 2016 national polls are looking less wrong after final election tallies

<i>UPDATE: This post was originally published in late December. I'm reposting it in light of President Donald Trump's tweets this morning about polling being wrong.</i><p>Donald Trump’s poll and forecast-defying victory Tuesday immediately raised criticisms of a crisis in public opinion polling, with CNN …

Government

Why I think Nate Silver’s model underrates Clinton’s odds

The uncertainty is real, but it’s not balanced.<p>People want to know who will win the election on Tuesday and are also nervous about it. Indeed, some people seem to <i>want</i> to be nervous about it. A trainer at my gym managed to set off a mass panic by passing on the completely inaccurate news that a poll …

10 movies that changed the world

A good film does more than entertain or fill seats at the cinema. It has the power to change hearts and minds – and sometimes society more …

French lorry drivers converge on Calais for refugee camp protest

French lorry drivers have threatened to blockade the port of Calais, causing severe travel disruption in France and the UK, unless a date is set for dismantling the “Jungle” refugee camp.<p>Jean-Pierre Devigne, a senior official at France’s largest trucking union, the FNTR, confirmed that lorries and …

Calais

Guía práctica de lo acordado en La Habana

<b>1. Reforma rural integral</b><p>El agro ha sido históricamente una de las principales causas de la violencia en el país. Es además una de las razones de ser …

Imagine if campaign polls didn't exist? Why would you?

“Imagine polls don’t exist. Show me evidence Hillary is winning?” That was the challenge that Charlotte radio host Bill Mitchell posed for his …

Social Media

Climate Guru Tells Calif. Governor Not To Close Diablo Canyon Nuclear Plant

On Thursday,a letter to Governor Jerry Brown of California, about how nuclear energy was essential to fighting global warming, was sent by Dr. James Hansen and the leading climate scientists in the world, plus a long list of environmentalists.<p>The letter was prompted by a recent announcement by …

Nuclear Energy

Precio de escasez de energía, a revisión por parte del Gobierno

<b>El Ministro de Minas y Energía se comprometió a iniciar cuanto antes la evaluación del precio de escasez que rige para las empresas generadoras en</b> …

Is this why you're not getting enough sleep?

How much sleep you get may depend on where you live, while the time at which you got to bed is more important than when you get up, according to a …

Well-regulated financial technology boosts inclusion, fights cyber crime

Financial technology — or FinTech — is changing the financial sector on a global scale. It is also enabling the expansion of financial services to …

World Bank