William Stowe

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FORTUNE—No basic measure of whether stocks are under or overpriced gets more respect in academic circles than Robert Shiller’s Cyclically Adjusted Price-Earnings ratio, or CAPE. The CAPE ratio removes a factor that frequently makes shares look artificially cheap or pricey, and hence wildly misleads …

Three stocks all but immune to market turmoil

Investing in the stock market is often compared to gambling. This analogy became particularly popular in the wake of the 1973 publication of Burton Malkiel's <i>A Random Walk Down Wall Street</i>, which argued that the movement of asset prices is just, well, too random to outperform on a consistent basis. …

Short Interest Increases 16% For RH

The most recent short interest data has been released by the NASDAQ for the 04/30/2014 settlement date, which shows a 653,265 share increase in total short interest for Restoration Hardware Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: RH), to 4,756,784, an increase of 15.92% since 04/15/2014. Total short interest is just …

Growth Versus Value With Markets At A Crossroads

Fund managers have different strategies for navigating the ebbs and flows of investing. For Value style investors, it all boils down to one main rule; “buy low, sell high.” The phrase is often quoted, but often abandoned by Growth style investors in favor of another notable phrase: “buy high, sell …

Is it better to own a REIT than a home?

So you want to get into the real estate investment game without having to pick up a plunger to unstop a toilet when your tenant calls in the middle …

My Four Favorite Research Sites

For those traders or investors who are looking for stocks or ETFs to buy, the wealth of free information on the Internet is quite astounding. It can also be quite intimidating, so I thought I might review four of my favorite sites and how you might use them in your research.<p>Though my focus is on …

How to Track 'Risk On, Risk Off'

Last week we discussed when the overall stock market or the S&P 500 is moving higher, you want to own higher-beta names.<p>When the stock market or S&P …

Stock Markets

The Short Road to Long-Term Stock Gains

New subscribers to my publications often express their surprise that I use "covered call" options in a stock-investing service.<p>Generally, they expect …

Investing

What's the Best Options Strategy?

During the past few weeks, we’ve been looking at how investors can harness trading techniques to boost their longer-term performance in the near to …

Investing

Former Head of BIS Worried About Cost of QE

<i>Below is the April 26th “Thoughts from the Frontline” newsletter, republished in full.</i><p>(It is especially important to read the opening quotes this week. They set up the theme in the proper context.)<p>“There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The …

Japan's 20-Year Deflationary Spiral Is About To End

Japan raised its consumption tax rate in 1997 – a recession soon followed as well as a deflationary spiral which has lasted to this day. With this month’s hike in the consumption tax from 5% to 8%, investors are fearful that history may repeat itself.<p>This fear ignores several key differences. …