Sarah Bertrand

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2016 Turnout Projection Update – June 2015

In recent posts I’ve outlined how we plan to use our Reuters/Ipsos survey ( data to forecast turnout for the 2016 presidential …

Key Facts About Florida Voting Demographics

Endnotes and citations are available in the PDF and Scribd versions.<p><b>See also:</b><p>Key Facts About Nevada Voting Demographics by Charles Posner and Lizet …

The Changing Face of America’s Electorate

Endnotes and citations are available in the PDF and Scribd versions.<p><i>Appendix available in the PDF and Scribd versions of this issue brief.</i><p>In the wake …


2016 voters most diverse ever

Demographic trends favor Democrats, but GOP could still win in 2016

It is hard to say when it will come, but our democracy faces a tipping point in the not-to-distant future when a fearful, ticked-off generation of conservative white voters will have passed on and a multiracial, socially liberal generation finally gets the voting habit. When that happens, …

2016 electorate will be the most diverse in U.S. history

Nearly one-in-three eligible voters on Election Day (31%) will be Hispanic, black, Asian or another racial or ethnic minority.