Justin puerce

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Are We Due For A Recession In 2015?

Are we due for a recession? It has been 66 months since the last recession ended (as I write this in December 2014). Not too many people felt that the recession was over back in June 2009, but that’s what the business cycle experts determined. Does the length of this expansion tell us that we’re …

IMF Survey : IMF Offers Free Access to Its Online Economic Data

• IMF’s online data free of charge to everyone<br>• New data platform allows users to download, share data<br>• Good data vital to help support sound policy …

Economics

Memo To Larry Summers; Middle Class Stagnation Is The Outcome Of The Most Successful Economic Policy Ever

Larry Summers has one of those prelude to Davos OpEds out today. The basic claim is that middle class stagnation is the largest economic problem we face and one about which something must be done. It’s possible, as I do, to argue with the premise, the analysis and the conclusion. As far as I am …

Economics

MORGAN STANLEY: The Fed Isn't Raising Rates Until March 2016

In a new note to clients, Morgan Stanley economist Ellen Zentner and her team push their forecast for the Federal Reserve's first interest rate hike out until March 2016.<p>A main driver of Morgan Stanley's revised forecast is its downwardly revised outlook for oil prices, which will significantly …

Morgan Stanley

Greece News, Fed And Earnings Providing Market Test

January’s final week is the busiest so far for this round of quarterly earnings. The economic calendar is chock-full, too, including a Federal Reserve meeting scheduled for Wednesday afternoon. It’ll be the first we’ve heard from the Fed since several global central banks took action to pump up …

Stock Markets