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FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sport and science.

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Ice Hockey
Did The Bruins Win The Trade Deadline? And Will The Canucks Ever Play Again?
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neil (Neil Paine, senior sportswriter): One of hockey’s annual big events came and went earlier this week, with Monday’s trade deadline. Though the …
21 hours ago
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Moon
Can You Crack The Case Of The Crescent Moon?
FiveThirtyEight - Zach Wissner-Gross
Welcome to The Riddler. Every week, I offer up problems related to the things we hold dear around here: math, logic and probability. Two puzzles are …
1 day ago
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Atheism
It’s Not Just Young White Liberals Who Are Leaving Religion
FiveThirtyEight - Ryan P. Burge and Perry Bacon Jr.
Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. Only 47 percent of American adults said they were members of a church, mosque or synagogue, …
1 day ago
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Zion Williamson
Zion Williamson Is Used To Rejection
FiveThirtyEight - Yaron Weitzman
New Orleans’s superstar dominates the paint. So why is his shot blocked so often? The NBA has never seen a player like Zion Williamson. “This is a …
1 day ago
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Policing
Why Serious Changes To Policing Are So Unlikely To Happen
FiveThirtyEight - Galen Druke and Alex Samuels
In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses how public opinion of the Black Lives Matter movement has changed …
1 day ago
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Death of George Floyd
Politics Podcast: How Opinion On Policing Has Changed Since Last Summer
FiveThirtyEight - Galen Druke, Alex Samuels and Anna Rothschild
A Brooklyn Center, Minnesota police officer shot and killed Daunte Wright, a 20-year-old Black man, after a traffic stop on Sunday. His death …
1 day ago
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Max Verstappen
In Formula One, Does The Driver Or Car Matter More?
FiveThirtyEight - Justin Moore and Neil Paine
Our updated model evaluates both — and it thinks Red Bull can take down Mercedes this season. As we enter the second round of the 2021 Formula One …
2 days ago
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Politics
Few Americans Who Identify As Independent Are Actually Independent. That’s Really Bad For Politics.
FiveThirtyEight - Geoffrey Skelley
If you’ve ever been in a conversation about politics, you’ve probably heard someone say, “I don’t like either party” or “Politics is just so ugly …
2 days ago
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Leicester City
Can Leicester City Hold On To A Top-Four Spot?
FiveThirtyEight - Terrence Doyle
After Matchweek 24 of the 2019-20 Premier League season, it appeared as though Leicester City was a lock to finish in the top four and qualify for …
2 days ago
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Dallas Sports
The Mavericks Bet Big On Kristaps Porziņģis. It’s Paying Off On Offense, But What About Defense?
FiveThirtyEight - Jared Dubin
Midway through Luka Dončić’s rookie season, the Dallas Mavericks seized on an opportunity that doesn’t come around all that often. Then-New York …
2 days ago
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WNBA
What Each WNBA Team Needs From This Year’s Draft
FiveThirtyEight - Howard Megdal
A quartet of WNBA decision-makers came together last week to answer questions from those of us in the media preparing for Thursday night’s 2021 WNBA …
2 days ago
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Coronavirus (COVID-19)
The Johnson & Johnson Pause Shows The System Is Working
FiveThirtyEight - Anna Rothschild, Maggie Koerth and Kaleigh Rogers
On Tuesday, the FDA announced that they were recommending a pause on administering doses of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine. On the latest episode of …
3 days ago
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U.S. Politics
Are Ambitious Parts Of Democrats’ Agenda Good For Democracy … Or Just The Democratic Party?
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Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. sarah (Sarah Frostenson, politics editor): With unified …
3 days ago
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Boston Sports
Small Sample Sizes Be Damned, Let’s Talk About Baseball
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Hot Takedown looks at the first two weeks of the MLB season and previews the WNBA draft. First, since we’re nearly two weeks into the MLB season, we …
3 days ago
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Death of George Floyd
How Views On Black Lives Matter Have Changed — And Why That Makes Police Reform So Hard
FiveThirtyEight - Alex Samuels
Daunte Wright was driving in his car through Brooklyn Center, Minnesota, two days ago when police officers pulled him over and later fatally shot …
3 days ago
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Byron Buxton
This Is The Byron Buxton We Were Promised
FiveThirtyEight - Neil Paine
The Minnesota Twins have MLB’s second-best record over the past two-plus seasons (trailing only the powerhouse Los Angeles Dodgers), earning a pair …
4 days ago
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Andrew Yang
Confidence Interval: Will Andrew Yang Be The Next Mayor Of New York City?
FiveThirtyEight - Galen Druke, Anna Rothschild and Michael Tabb
It’s another episode of Confidence Interval, where we make a persuasive case for a hot take we’ve been hearing … and then reveal how confident we …
4 days ago
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Georgia (U.S. State)
It’s Not Just Georgia: More Than A Dozen Other States Are Trying To Take Power Away From Local Election Officials
FiveThirtyEight - Nathaniel Rakich
Georgia’s new election restrictions have garnered no shortage of criticism thanks to provisions that directly impose additional burdens on voters, …
4 days ago
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Gun Control
Why Support For Gun Control Hasn’t Led To New Legislation
FiveThirtyEight - Galen Druke, Nate Silver, Sarah Frostenson and Geoffrey Skelley
In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses why public support for gun control measures hasn’t translated into …
4 days ago
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Polling
Politics Podcast: Americans Are More Independent But Just As Partisan
FiveThirtyEight - Galen Druke, Nate Silver, Sarah Frostenson and Geoffrey Skelley
Independents have made up a larger portion of the electorate than Democrats or Republicans for decades, and have grown even larger in recent years. …
4 days ago
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NFL
The Records That May (Or May Not) Fall In A 17-Game NFL Season
FiveThirtyEight - Ty Schalter
The NFL’s long-awaited move to a 17-game regular season means a lot of obvious changes: a later Super Bowl, more exposure to injury risks and more …
4 days ago
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Charlotte Sports
Could More NBA Teams Succeed With Three Point Guards Playing Together?
FiveThirtyEight - Louis Zatzman
On Feb. 5, Charlotte Hornets head coach James Borrego made a remarkable choice. Starting point guard Terry Rozier was returning from a two-game …
4 days ago
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U.S. Politics
Democratic Values Are Still Under Attack — Even Without Trump In The White House
FiveThirtyEight - Julia Azari
During the Trump presidency, many worried about the administration’s violation of long-standing norms. And former President Trump certainly did break …
5 days ago
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U.S. Politics
Latino Voters Aren’t A Monolith, But The GOP Made Gains With Them Just About Everywhere In 2020
FiveThirtyEight - Galen Druke
In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Galen Druke speaks with Stephanie Valencia and Carlos Odio, founders of the political …
Apr 9
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German Football
Did PSG Really Just Beat Bayern Munich?
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And other questions from leg 1 of the Champions League quarterfinals. cwick: Soccer wunderkinds, we’re back with a whole lot to discuss. Let’s focus …
Apr 9
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Puzzles
Can You Navigate The One-Way Streets?
FiveThirtyEight - Zach Wissner-Gross
Welcome to The Riddler. Every week, I offer up problems related to the things we hold dear around here: math, logic and probability. Two puzzles are …
Apr 9
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Tampa Bay Sports
The Yankees And Rays Own The AL East’s Best Rivalry Now
FiveThirtyEight - Neil Paine
When the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays renew their hostilities over the weekend, they’ll play the opening games of what will end up being 19 …
Apr 9
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United States
Why Americans Can’t Resist A Celebrity Political Candidate
FiveThirtyEight - Alex Samuels
Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. Are Americans in favor of the celebrity politician post-Trump? Seems like it, according to recent …
Apr 9
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U.S. Politics
Politics Podcast: Will Trump’s Gains With Latino Voters Last?
FiveThirtyEight - Galen Druke
When Donald Trump came onto the scene in 2015, some analysts assumed his anti-immigrant rhetoric would be poison for Latino voters. But in 2016, …
Apr 8
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Manchester City
Is Soccer Wrong About Long Shots?
FiveThirtyEight - John Muller
A new research paper argues that teams should take more chances from distance. Manchester City was in trouble. The team had dominated the Premier …
Apr 8