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The Kawhi Leonard Trade Was Odd And Inevitable

Wednesday brought something you don’t see everyday in the topsy-turvy NBA: the trade of a top-five player in the world — and perhaps the league’s …

NBA

Brett Kavanaugh Is Polling Like Robert Bork And Harriet Miers

But it’s probably not his fault.<p>Brett Kavanaugh, President Donald Trump’s new nominee to the Supreme Court, has been on the national stage for all of …

Political Science

Is Manny Machado Enough To Bring A Title To L.A.?

The shortstop is one of the best rentals in MLB history, but big-ticket pickups seldom seal a World Series win.<p>After months of speculation (and an …

Baseball

How Liz Cambage Broke The WNBA’s Scoring Record

Scoring is up across the board in the WNBA this year, and one player, Dallas Wings center Elizabeth Cambage, aimed to keep it that way Tuesday when …

Basketball

Significant Digits For Wednesday, July 18, 2018

<i>You’re reading Significant Digits, a daily digest of the numbers tucked inside the news.</i><p>22 months<p>President Trump has yet to award the national arts …

Donald Trump

Would Republicans Be Better Off If Clinton Were President?

Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s weekly politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited.<p><b>micah</b> (Micah Cohen, politics editor): Hey, everybody! …

Political Science

Who Needs A World Series? The Indians Are Dominating The All-Star Game

When Major League Baseball’s All-Stars take the field Tuesday night in Washington, the Cleveland Indians will be quite well-represented. With …

Baseball

The Player Kylian Mbappe Really Plays Like

Breakout performances seemed to be everywhere at the 2018 World Cup — young talents were launched to international fame, and established players had …

Soccer

Wildfires In The U.S. Are Getting Bigger

A California wildfire that started on Friday doubled in size over the weekend, killing a firefighter and threatening Yosemite National Park. And it’s …

Forests

Significant Digits For Tuesday, July 17, 2018

<i>You’re reading Significant Digits, a daily digest of the numbers tucked inside the news.</i><p>45-minute press conference<p>In a surreal 45-minute joint press …

Donald Trump

How Conservative Is Brett Kavanaugh?

Who is Brett Kavanaugh, and how will he vote if he becomes America’s next Supreme Court justice? There is no shortage of speculation about his …

Brett Kavanaugh

Politics Podcast: The Trump And Putin Show

FiveThirtyEight<p>The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast team reacts to President Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin’s Monday press conference, in …

Political Science

Americans Know Where They Stand On The Mueller Investigation

Friday’s news that the Justice Department had indicted 12 Russian agents in connection with interference in the 2016 U.S. elections was a major …

Donald Trump

Significant Digits For Monday, July 16, 2018

<i>You’re reading Significant Digits, a daily digest of the numbers tucked inside the news.</i><p>4 pitch invaders<p>The 2018 World Cup came to an end yesterday. …

Planetary Habitability

France Is Only Going To Get Better

The best version of Les Bleus is not the one that just won the World Cup.<p>The 2018 World Cup final didn’t disappoint (though this website predicted …

Soccer

Emergency Politics Podcast: Mueller’s Latest Indictment Comes At A Charged Moment

FiveThirtyEight<p>In an emergency installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew breaks down what is new and notable in special counsel …

Political Science

What The Latest Mueller Indictment Tells Us About Election Hacking

Summer Fridays just aren’t as relaxing as they used to be. This afternoon, special counsel Robert Mueller released indictments of 12 Russian …

muellerindictment

The Mueller Investigation Keeps Growing Fast

At a surprise news conference on Friday, Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein announced that the Justice Department would be charging 12 Russian …

Donald Trump

This Might Be Serena Williams’s Easiest Grand Slam Path Ever (Not That She Needed The Help)

The last time we saw Serena Williams in a grand slam final, she was beating her sister Venus for the Australian Open crown in January 2017. A <i>lot</i> has …

Tennis

France Is Rich With Offense But Is Winning With Defense

Croatia will have few opportunities to spark an upset.<p>France entered the European Championships in 2016 with perhaps the most talented squad, and Les …

Soccer

Can You Slice This In Half?

Welcome to The Riddler. Every week, I offer up problems related to the things we hold dear around here: math, logic and probability. There are two …

Mathematics

Significant Digits For Friday, July 13, 2018

<i>You’re reading Significant Digits, a daily digest of the numbers tucked inside the news.</i><p>10 Wimbledon finals<p>Serena Williams defeated Julia Goerges on …

Peter Thiel

Is Trump Fueling Republicans’ Concerns About NATO, Or Echoing Them?

Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup.<p>Poll of the week<p>Donald Trump has been unhappy with NATO for years. Even before he won the …

Political Science

Manny Machado Picked A Great Time To Have His Best Season

It’s been a truly miserable summer for baseball in Baltimore. Not only do the Orioles currently have MLB’s worst record, but according to the …

Baseball

DACA Remains In Jeopardy, But Thousands Of People Are Still Enrolling

Despite a Trump administration announcement in 2017 that the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program had come to an end, new data shows that …

Immigration

Would Asking People To Hack America’s Election Systems Make Them More Safe?

There are four months until the midterm elections, and the security of state election systems remains a concern. The clock is ticking to ferret out …

Cybersecurity

Significant Digits For Thursday, July 12, 2018

<i>You’re reading Significant Digits, a daily digest of the numbers tucked inside the news.</i><p>65-pound waistcoat<p>That’s pounds like the money, and it’s …

significantdigits

The Angels Want Ohtani On The Field This Year. Will That Cost Them Later?

Returning to the Los Angeles Angels’ lineup following a monthlong injury layoff, Shohei Ohtani finally reminded everyone last Sunday night why he …

Baseball

How France And Croatia Made It To The World Cup Final, In One Chart

After weeks of golazos, flops and inaccurate estimates of stoppage time, the World Cup is nearly over. We’ve been tracking, and forecasting, each …

Sports Analytics

What The Bork And Thomas Confirmation Fights Tell Us About Kavanaugh

The process of confirming Judge Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court promises to be a Senate classic — grandstanding and softball questions galore. …

Political Science