Christopher Changery

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Ann Coulter the Liberal

Because the California National Guard couldn’t be mobilized in time, Ann Coulter had to withdraw from giving a speech at Berkeley.<p>If you take it seriously, that’s the import of UC Berkeley’s decision to do everything it could to keep the conservative provocateur from speaking on campus over safety …

Everyone loves Bernie Sanders. Except, it seems, the Democratic party | Trevor Timm

A new poll found he is the most popular politician in America. But instead of embracing his message, establishment Democrats continue to resist him<p>If you look at the numbers, Bernie Sanders is the most popular politician in America – and it’s not even close. Yet bizarrely, the Democratic party – …

Middle-class

Sessions story takes different shape on different outlets

NEW YORK (AP) — Reports about Attorney General Jeff Sessions' two meetings with Russia's U.S. ambassador became a textbook illustration of the vastly …

Donald Trump Had A Superior Electoral College Strategy

How Hillary Clinton and the media missed the boat.<p><i>This is the sixth article in a series that reviews news coverage of the 2016 general election,</i> …

The Washington Post Walks Back Report Of Steve Bannon 'Confrontation'

“It’s a patently false, made up story," said White House press secretary Sean Spicer.<p>The Washington Post no longer stands by its account of White House chief strategist Steve Bannon personally confronting Homeland Security Secretary John Kelly last week ― an incident the White House says never took …

The Electoral College Blind Spot

Most reporting vastly overstated the strength of Clinton’s “emerging Democratic majority” and missed how it was a potential Electoral College …

Government

Was Obama a Transformational President?

His most ardent supporters like to think he fundamentally changed the country. But his record shows otherwise.<p>For weeks now, the impending departure of Barack Obama from the White House has inspired a run of paeans to his greatness, a flood of laments about how much he’ll be missed. Everywhere …

Political Science

5 New Rules From the Trump Scandal Playbook

For decades, certain rules governed how politicians dealt with controversy. Until Trump came up with new rules of his own.<p>Time and again during the 2016 campaign—as he faced a dizzying blizzard of attacks, made numerous outrageous statements and navigated countless campaign crises—we heard that …

How Much Did WikiLeaks Hurt Hillary Clinton?

How did Hillary Clinton blow a 7-percentage-point lead over Donald Trump in the final month of the campaign? Much of the post-election analysis has …

Government

Why I Support An Election Audit, Even Though It’s Unlikely To Change The Outcome

Here at FiveThirtyEight, we’ve been skeptical of claims of irregularities in the presidential election. As we pointed out last week, there are no …

Government

Why the pundits got the election wrong: How confirmation bias shaped our view of facts

<b>President-elect Donald Trump pumps his fist during an election night rally, Wednesday, Nov. 9, 2016, in New York. (AP)</b><p>In the runup to the election, pundits and election watchers saw only what they wanted to see<p>Ray Nickerson<p>November 27, 2016 3:30pm (UTC)<p><i>This article was originally published on The</i> …

Critical Thinking

Trump’s Data Team Saw a Different America—and They Were Right

Nobody saw it coming. Not the media. Certainly not Hillary Clinton. Not even Donald Trump’s team of data scientists, holed up in their San Antonio …

For the fourth time in American history, the president-elect lost the popular vote. Credit the electoral college

For only the fourth time in U.S. history, the presidential campaign has ended with an electoral college winner who won fewer votes than his opponent.<p>Under the system established in the Constitution, in 1787, the winner is the candidate who wins the majority of electoral votes based on the …

How Does The Electoral College Work, And Is It Fair?

Here's a little information that Americans have usually been able to ignore.<p>It's about the Electoral College, a uniquely American institution that's been with us from the beginning and that's occasionally given us fits.<p>Typically, the Electoral College meets and does its thing a month or so after …

Government

How Trump Took Over the Media By Fighting It

He made himself the biggest news story since 9/11, and almost neutered the press in the process.<p>No matter who claims the presidency on November 8, the 2016 election was a story about one human being's domination of the media. Not since 9/11 has a single topic so colonized all of the media …

The Political Environment on Social Media

In a political environment defined by widespread polarization and partisan animosity, even simple conversations can go awry when the subject turns to …

The hubris of the 2016 candidates

<b>Washington (CNN) —</b> Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are better at beating themselves than each other.<p>They're not just the most unpopular presidential nominees in recent memory: In the epic drama of the 2016 election, they're also tarnished heroes who are perpetually humbled by their own …

Government

Democrats look poised to retake Senate majority

The final Fix list of top 10 Senate races in 2016 ends where it began: with Democrats positioned to take back the Senate majority.<p>If we factor in a likely Hillary Clinton presidency (which would mean Tim Kaine becoming the Senate president), Democrats would need to net four seats to take back the …

New Hampshire

Two Weeks Out: Democrats Have The Edge In The Fight For The Senate

Two weeks from Election Day, it looks more likely than ever that Democrats will win control of the Senate.<p>States that many thought would be the crux of their battle ground map, like Ohio and Florida, have moved down or completely off the list. But Democrats have successfully expanded the map enough …

Election Update: There Are 4 Ways This Election Can End — And 3 Involve Clinton Winning

<i>Want these election updates emailed to you right when they’re published? Sign up</i> <i>here</i><i>.</i><p>It’s tempting to say that voters have made up their minds and …

Government

Trump, unbound

Deserted and detested, the GOP nominee feels free to tell people what he really thinks.<p>Democrats get a kick out of saying that Donald Trump is “unhinged,” but the candidate views himself as finally being unchained.<p>It may seem odd that a 6-foot-2-inch id in a red power tie would feel like his …

Donald Trump

Think the media hasn’t fact checked Donald Trump enough? You’re wrong.

Fact-checking is all the rage right now. Just hours — okay, half a day — away from the first presidential debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, the topic du jour is whether, how much and when moderator Lester Holt should fact-check Clinton and Trump when they veer from the truth.<p>A large …

How to Win a Debate With Mind Games and Dirty Tricks

Presidential debates have a long and often comical history of psych-outs, with candidates trying to intimidate each other and even threatening insulting props.<p>Before the cameras go live at the presidential debate on Monday night, the mind games have already begun. The telegraphed punches, false …

How John McCain and Russ Feingold are riding the big money wave in their campaigns

John McCain and Russ Feingold used to be synonymous with their crusading overhaul of the campaign finance system that eliminated big money from federal elections.<p>But after a sea change to campaign finance laws following the Supreme Court “Citizens United” decision, McCain and Feingold are now …

Trump puts a boiling battleground in play

In pivotal North Carolina, two contentious local issues are overshadowing almost everything else.<p>When Donald Trump took his campaign to High Point, North Carolina, Tuesday, his topics ranged broadly from trade to immigration to terrorism. In other words, none of the hot-button issues that are …

Poor communication on pneumonia is symptom of Hillary Clinton's press problems

As her campaign stonewalled on Sunday over a problem it knew of on Friday, one political analyst wondered: ‘Is there a story they couldn’t make worse?’<p>Before a doctor’s diagnosis of pneumonia was made public on Sunday, speculation about Hillary Clinton’s health was mostly relegated to conservative …

Hillary Clinton

Election Update: The Swing States Are Tightening, Too

<i>Want these election updates emailed to you right when they’re published? Sign up here.</i><p>In the more poll-obsessed corners of the internet, we’ve been …

Government